Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.020478 0.022144 0.023881 0.025828 0.027951 0.030198 0.032756
2025-09-14 0.017617 0.020008 0.022636 0.025747 0.029334 0.033350 0.038196
2025-09-21 0.015608 0.018375 0.021540 0.025440 0.030129 0.035607 0.042518
2025-09-28 0.014331 0.017372 0.020963 0.025536 0.031228 0.038117 0.047137
2025-10-05 0.013228 0.016437 0.020330 0.025429 0.031969 0.040130 0.051165
2025-10-12 0.012409 0.015762 0.019929 0.025527 0.032902 0.042362 0.055535
2025-10-19 0.011707 0.015168 0.019564 0.025607 0.033765 0.044498 0.059853
2025-10-26 0.011028 0.014548 0.019109 0.025510 0.034348 0.046250 0.063710
2025-11-02 0.010469 0.014044 0.018763 0.025517 0.035040 0.048152 0.067847
2025-11-09 0.009832 0.013391 0.018170 0.025132 0.035142 0.049204 0.070796
2025-11-16 0.009226 0.012744 0.017543 0.024652 0.035060 0.049961 0.073319
2025-11-23 0.008776 0.012290 0.017156 0.024483 0.035400 0.051325 0.076797
2025-11-30 0.008333 0.011837 0.016767 0.024319 0.035780 0.052832 0.080700
2025-12-07 0.007931 0.011426 0.016420 0.024198 0.036222 0.054461 0.084916
2025-12-14 0.007515 0.010969 0.015978 0.023904 0.036369 0.055632 0.088456
2025-12-21 0.007235 0.010699 0.015797 0.023992 0.037106 0.057751 0.093662
2025-12-28 0.006929 0.010372 0.015510 0.023892 0.037528 0.059375 0.098128
2026-01-04 0.006692 0.010139 0.015352 0.023983 0.038255 0.061522 0.103608
2026-01-11 0.006467 0.009913 0.015192 0.024058 0.038949 0.063643 0.109167
2026-01-18 0.006220 0.009639 0.014942 0.023968 0.039356 0.065289 0.113974
2026-01-25 0.006010 0.009414 0.014758 0.023974 0.039920 0.067227 0.119422
2026-02-01 0.005737 0.009073 0.014370 0.023615 0.039829 0.068005 0.122764
2026-02-08 0.005461 0.008718 0.013942 0.023167 0.039553 0.068431 0.125455